The spreadsheet contains three pages for your reference: The Derby fields page, which includes historical criteria information for all starters dating back to 2003 the in-the-money page, which includes information just for Derby winners and placed horses back to 1998 and the winners’ preps page, which lays out the race and work schedule for each Derby winner back to 1998.
#MIKE WELSCH DERBY CLOCKER REPORT FREE#
More links: Jon White’s Derby Strikes column is up … get free Kentucky Derby past performances from Brisnet … watch Mike Welsch’s Derby clocker reports.Īp/ Tagged Derby Contenders, Derby Handicapping, Derby History, Kentucky Derby, SpreadsheetsĪnd the prep and historical criteria spreadsheet is up for 2013. He’s a maybe for Saturday, tweets Jonathan Linter: “Trainer Wesley Ward says no guarantees Pablo Del Monte runs in the #kyderby Saturday because it would mean breaking from the outside post.” You can see which Derby starters are exiting the four most productive preps on Hello Race Fans.ĥ/1/14 Update: Trainer Bob Baffert scratches Hoppertunity due to a foot issue, and Pablo Del Monte draws in. The 2014 Kentucky Derby prep schedule and results, with replays, charts, and prep winners’ Beyer speed figures, can be found here.
#MIKE WELSCH DERBY CLOCKER REPORT FULL#
View the field for 2014, plus full fields going back to 2003 the winners and top three finishers going back to 1998 or the last 16 winners’ prep schedules (including workouts). Now that Kentucky Derby post positions have been drawn, the 2014 Derby historical criteria spreadsheet is ready for your handicapping reference. But it could have been a lot better.The 5-2 morning line favorite will break from stall #5. Fortunately I still had $20W on AK and a $5 exacta box of who I thought were the best longshot closers (1-2-16-19) thinking all front runners should get cooked so it was a good day. I can't recall if it was Welsch's report specifically that swayed me but I did read it more than once. In other words I got off Nehro and onto Arch3 and it cost me a cool $1,000. So I switched one of my $6 exact boxes from 16-17-19 to 1-16-17. But around 2:00am as I was scouring every last minutia of information I became focused on the general opinion that Nehro's works did not look very good. Late friday night I was all set with my bets which were keyed around Soldat and AK equally. I am generally of the opinion (like many others) that feels the winner typically works well leading up to the race. I've been 'capping the Derby for 30 years and have had a lot of good scores though I've missed the last five until this year. Just to give you all a case in point, the morning work "opinions" can work for you and against you. Now using that information was extremely helpful in creating winning tri and super tickets. If you go back and look, be honest, and give credit where it's due solely on what he said horses looked like while working, he said Animal Kingdom and Shackleford were the best. The point is that he's not wrong or right. He said Soldat liked the cool air and tended to get hot (as in Florida). I know he makes a pick and this year it was Soldat, but he didn't have much to say about Soldat in comparison to horses like AK, Shackleford and maybe Dialed In (but he was reserved about his stride and energy). The key is to use your own handicapping skills in conjunction with Welsch's reports. Maybe you should read what he was saying about Uncle Mo.his overall record on the derby and the breeders cup has been poor. maybe one of the 10 or 12 hosses he says are working well have won the derby on occasion, but generally he's wrong. He's a cool guy, but if you base your opinion on his workout opinions as a whole, his hosses usually run lousy.
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